Estimateur

Prévisions Cresc et J&J

Estimations jour par jour basées sur N-1 × ratio tendance. Les jours déjà passés affichent le réel, les jours futurs affichent l'estimation.

7 jour(s) 29/12/2025 – 04/01/2026

CA Algo 37 707 € Cresc + J&J Boul. + J&J Rest.

CA IA (+1.3%) 38 197 € Algo + sentiment Claude

CA réel (partiel) 34 056 € Jours passés disponibles

Sentiment IA 0 Confiance : medium +1.3% appliqué IA : 37 707 €

2026-03-25

Météo : Cool temperatures 5-9°C, frequent light rain and overcast conditions throughout the week (typical winter Nantes weather). No extremes: no snow, no frost, no sunshine.

weather

positive

Cool (5-9°C) and frequently rainy/overcast conditions encourage indoor dining. No severe weather. Light continuous rain is favorable for restaurant traffic.

pole sud

positive

Minor cinema event (Tafiti premiere) on 4 January at Ciné Pôle Sud provides marginal foot traffic. Pôle Sud is a shopping mall with anchors; Christmas shopping/browsing may still generate pre/post-meal visits.

nantes events

positive

Le Voyage en Hiver (city-wide winter festival with lights, markets, gastronomy) runs through 4 January 2026, creating festive atmosphere and tourism draw, though centered on city centre not the south-east zone.

holidays

positive

Zone B school holidays run 20 Dec 2025 – 5 Jan 2026. Week falls entirely within holidays. 1 January (New Year's Day) is mid-week, boosting family and social dining on that day and surrounding weekend.

disruptions

neutral

No evidence of strikes, roadworks, or major local disruptions for this specific week.

economy

negative

French consumer confidence weak and pessimistic. Consumer confidence index at 90-91 (Dec 2025 – Feb 2026), below long-term average of 100. French consumers most pessimistic in Europe (-33 net spending intentions). However, end-of-year holidays often see discretionary spending surge despite macro pessimism.

The week of 29 Dec 2025 – 4 Jan 2026 benefits from favorable weather (cool, rain, indoors-friendly), full school holidays driving family dining, a mid-week public holiday (New Year's Day), and a lingering city-wide festive event (Le Voyage en Hiver). These factors typically boost restaurant revenue during the critical year-end week. However, weak French consumer confidence and pronounced pessimism about 2026 discretionary spending temper upside. The net effect is neutral-to-slightly-positive compared to baseline, with weather and holiday timing offsetting macro economic headwinds. Holiday dining patterns historically override broader sentiment for a single week.

Plage de dates

2 restaurants

Jours fériés & vacances

−2 sem · +45 j

Cette année (gauche) vs N-1 équivalent (droite). Les 2 semaines passées sont grisées.

Vacances En cours

Cette année

Vacances de Printemps

11/04/2026 → 27/04/2026

N-1 (2025)

✓ Vacances de Printemps

12/04/2025 → 28/04/2025

Férié Passé

Cette année

Lundi de Pâques

13/04/2026

N-1 (2025)

— Jour normal

14/04/2025

Férié

Cette année

Fête du Travail

01/05/2026

N-1 (2025)

— Jour normal

02/05/2025

Férié

Cette année

Victoire 1945

08/05/2026

N-1 (2025)

— Jour normal

09/05/2025

Vacances

Cette année

Pont de l'Ascension

14/05/2026 → 18/05/2026

N-1 (2025)

— Jour normal

15/05/2025 → 19/05/2025

Férié

Cette année

Ascension

21/05/2026

N-1 (2025)

— Jour normal

22/05/2025

Férié

Cette année

Lundi de Pentecôte

31/05/2026

N-1 (2025)

— Jour normal

01/06/2025

CA combiné — Cresc + J&J

Estimé · Réel · N-1

Ligne cyan = Algo (N-1 × tendance). Ligne jaune = réel disponible. Ligne grise = N-1.

Donnée	29/12/2025 Lundi	30/12/2025 Mardi	31/12/2025 Mercredi	01/01/2026 Jeudi	02/01/2026 Vendredi	03/01/2026 Samedi	04/01/2026 Dimanche
Algo	3 564	4 044	5 077	7 134	7 479	8 354	2 055
Réel	7 523	7 296	3 928	0	7 017	6 944	1 348
N-1	3 564	4 044	5 077	7 134	7 479	8 354	2 055

Cresc CAHT total · J&J CA total boulangerie · J&J CA total restaurant · Delta Algo vs N-1: +0 €

Cresc

Algo: 19 765 € Réel: 16 650 € N-1: 19 765 €

Donnée	29/12/2025 Lundi	30/12/2025 Mardi	31/12/2025 Mercredi	01/01/2026 Jeudi	02/01/2026 Vendredi	03/01/2026 Samedi	04/01/2026 Dimanche
CA total — Algo (€)	1 681	2 266	2 712	3 603	3 683	4 239	1 581
CA total — Réel	3 945	3 509	1 703	0	3 255	3 278	960
CA total — N-1	1 681	2 266	2 712	3 603	3 683	4 239	1 581
Couverts Midi — Algo (cvt)	131	176	226	300	290	276	108
Couverts Midi — Réel	322	271	159	0	242	216	52
Couverts Midi — N-1	131	176	226	300	290	276	108
Couverts Soir — Algo (cvt)	20	29	20	54	60	114	29
Couverts Soir — Réel	54	50	0	0	50	86	32
Couverts Soir — N-1	20	29	20	54	60	114	29

Jules — Boulangerie

Algo: 9 946 € Réel: 10 359 € N-1: 9 946 €

Donnée	29/12/2025 Lundi	30/12/2025 Mardi	31/12/2025 Mercredi	01/01/2026 Jeudi	02/01/2026 Vendredi	03/01/2026 Samedi
CA total — Algo (€)	1 271	1 300	1 528	1 871	1 920	2 056
CA total — Réel	2 102	2 147	1 756	0	1 996	2 358
CA total — N-1	1 271	1 300	1 528	1 871	1 920	2 056

Johns — Restaurant

Algo: 7 996 € Réel: 7 047 € N-1: 7 996 €

Donnée	29/12/2025 Lundi	30/12/2025 Mardi	31/12/2025 Mercredi	01/01/2026 Jeudi	02/01/2026 Vendredi	03/01/2026 Samedi	04/01/2026 Dimanche
CA total — Algo (€)	612	478	837	1 660	1 876	2 059	474
CA total — Réel	1 476	1 640	469	0	1 766	1 308	388
CA total — N-1	612	478	837	1 660	1 876	2 059	474

Graphiques

6 graphiques

Cresc

Couverts Midi

Estimé: 1 507 Réel: 1 262 N-1: 1 507

Cresc

Couverts Soir

Estimé: 326 Réel: 272 N-1: 326

Cresc

CA total

Estimé: 19 765 Réel: 16 650 N-1: 19 765

Jules — Boulangerie

CA total

Estimé: 9 946 Réel: 10 359 N-1: 9 946

Johns — Restaurant

CA total

Estimé: 7 996 Réel: 7 047 N-1: 7 996

Cresc + Jules + Johns

Total CA combiné

Estimé: 37 707 Réel: 34 056 N-1: 37 707