Estimateur

Prévisions Cresc et J&J

Estimations jour par jour basées sur N-1 × ratio tendance. Les jours déjà passés affichent le réel, les jours futurs affichent l'estimation.

7 jour(s) 09/02/2026 – 15/02/2026

CA Algo 36 026 € Cresc + J&J Boul. + J&J Rest.

CA IA (+0.8%) 36 314 € Algo + sentiment Claude

CA réel (partiel) 37 013 € Jours passés disponibles

Sentiment IA 0 Confiance : medium +0.8% appliqué IA : 37 100 €

2026-03-25

Météo : Temperatures mild (9–14°C daytime), mostly grey and overcast with 16 days of rain typical for February; the wettest day is 09/02 (3.46 mm). Minimal snow (~1 day). Mixed conditions suitable for restaurant business.

weather

positive

Cool (~9–14°C), cloudy February week with above-average rainfall (09/02 is rainiest day with 3.46 mm). Grey, overcast skies drive people indoors into restaurants. No extreme cold or heatwave. Mild weather scores +1.

pole sud

neutral

No major trade shows, exhibitions, or events found at Pôle Sud Basse-Goulaine for 09–15 Feb 2026. Ciné Pôle Sud (cinema) operates normally but generates only routine foot traffic, not exceptional volume.

nantes events

positive

Van Gogh immersive exhibition running at Exponantes until 02/03 (extends past target week); Nuit Blanche des Chercheur·es on 12/02 (Thursday, within week) at Stereolux & Halle 6; Micro 360° comedy shows 12 & 14/02 at H Arena. Modest draw but positive for overflow traffic city-wide.

holidays

positive

Zone B school holidays are 14/02–01/03 (start after target week). However, half of the target week (09–13/02) overlaps with end of school week (before holidays), which may drive some family lunches. Saint-Valentin on 14/02 (Saturday, start of holidays) could boost weekend traffic slightly.

disruptions

neutral

No strikes, major roadworks, security lockdowns, or severe local crises identified for Nantes or southeast zone (Rezé, Basse-Goulaine) during 09–15 Feb 2026.

economy

negative

French consumer confidence at 91 in Feb 2026 (above 90 in Dec–Jan but still below long-term mean of 100). Discretionary spending intentions remain negative (-28 in Feb). Consumers prioritize essential purchases; restaurant dining (non-essential) is a discretionary category under pressure. Purchasing power squeezed by cost of living. Minor negative headwind.

The week of 09/02–15/02/2026 presents a neutral to slightly positive outlook. Weather is typical for February—mild, cloudy, and rainy—which normally favors restaurants as people seek shelter indoors (score +1). A few modest city-wide cultural events (Van Gogh exhibition, Nuit Blanche, comedy shows) provide minor overflow traffic. Saint-Valentin on Saturday 14/02 and the approach of school holidays may drive some additional dining occasions. However, broader French consumer sentiment remains cautious, with low confidence (91) and negative discretionary spending intentions (-28), particularly affecting restaurants. Pôle Sud itself has no special events. The slight positive weather signal is offset by persistent consumer budget constraints. Recommend neutral adjustment with conservative stance on consumer discretionary behavior.

Plage de dates

2 restaurants

Jours fériés & vacances

−2 sem · +45 j

Cette année (gauche) vs N-1 équivalent (droite). Les 2 semaines passées sont grisées.

Vacances En cours

Cette année

Vacances de Printemps

11/04/2026 → 27/04/2026

N-1 (2025)

✓ Vacances de Printemps

12/04/2025 → 28/04/2025

Férié Passé

Cette année

Lundi de Pâques

13/04/2026

N-1 (2025)

— Jour normal

14/04/2025

Férié

Cette année

Fête du Travail

01/05/2026

N-1 (2025)

— Jour normal

02/05/2025

Férié

Cette année

Victoire 1945

08/05/2026

N-1 (2025)

— Jour normal

09/05/2025

Vacances

Cette année

Pont de l'Ascension

14/05/2026 → 18/05/2026

N-1 (2025)

— Jour normal

15/05/2025 → 19/05/2025

Férié

Cette année

Ascension

21/05/2026

N-1 (2025)

— Jour normal

22/05/2025

Férié

Cette année

Lundi de Pentecôte

31/05/2026

N-1 (2025)

— Jour normal

01/06/2025

CA combiné — Cresc + J&J

Estimé · Réel · N-1

Ligne cyan = Algo (N-1 × tendance). Ligne jaune = réel disponible. Ligne grise = N-1.

Donnée	09/02/2026 Lundi	10/02/2026 Mardi	11/02/2026 Mercredi	12/02/2026 Jeudi	13/02/2026 Vendredi	14/02/2026 Samedi	15/02/2026 Dimanche
Algo	3 842	4 734	5 237	4 248	5 857	9 434	2 673
Réel	3 502	4 292	4 796	4 266	5 974	11 440	2 743
N-1	4 553	5 008	5 705	5 446	7 468	7 740	2 056

Cresc CAHT total · J&J CA total boulangerie · J&J CA total restaurant · Delta Algo vs N-1: -1 950 €

Cresc

Algo: 19 643 € Réel: 18 719 € N-1: 19 851 €

Donnée	09/02/2026 Lundi	10/02/2026 Mardi	11/02/2026 Mercredi	12/02/2026 Jeudi	13/02/2026 Vendredi	14/02/2026 Samedi	15/02/2026 Dimanche
CA total — Algo (€)	1 934	2 810	3 055	2 365	3 112	4 674	1 692
CA total — Réel	1 596	2 232	2 538	2 085	2 863	5 779	1 626
CA total — N-1	2 276	3 077	3 202	2 559	4 003	3 773	961
Couverts Midi — Algo (cvt)	159	215	209	181	205	271	98
Couverts Midi — Réel	136	180	218	164	199	326	107
Couverts Midi — N-1	206	254	262	209	299	245	60
Couverts Soir — Algo (cvt)	15	37	63	24	68	160	59
Couverts Soir — Réel	19	19	29	15	45	182	23
Couverts Soir — N-1	19	31	39	32	73	93	29

Jules — Boulangerie

Algo: 8 721 € Réel: 10 154 € N-1: 10 095 €

Donnée	09/02/2026 Lundi	10/02/2026 Mardi	11/02/2026 Mercredi	12/02/2026 Jeudi	13/02/2026 Vendredi	14/02/2026 Samedi
CA total — Algo (€)	1 154	1 207	1 461	1 282	1 529	2 088
CA total — Réel	1 224	1 410	1 486	1 322	2 039	2 673
CA total — N-1	1 383	1 503	1 599	1 709	1 764	2 137

Johns — Restaurant

Algo: 7 662 € Réel: 8 140 € N-1: 8 030 €

Donnée	09/02/2026 Lundi	10/02/2026 Mardi	11/02/2026 Mercredi	12/02/2026 Jeudi	13/02/2026 Vendredi	14/02/2026 Samedi	15/02/2026 Dimanche
CA total — Algo (€)	754	717	722	601	1 216	2 672	981
CA total — Réel	682	650	772	859	1 072	2 988	1 117
CA total — N-1	894	428	904	1 178	1 701	1 830	1 095

Graphiques

6 graphiques

Cresc

Couverts Midi

Estimé: 1 338 Réel: 1 330 N-1: 1 535

Cresc

Couverts Soir

Estimé: 427 Réel: 332 N-1: 316

Cresc

CA total

Estimé: 19 643 Réel: 18 719 N-1: 19 851

Jules — Boulangerie

CA total

Estimé: 8 721 Réel: 10 154 N-1: 10 095

Johns — Restaurant

CA total

Estimé: 7 662 Réel: 8 140 N-1: 8 030

Cresc + Jules + Johns

Total CA combiné

Estimé: 36 026 Réel: 37 013 N-1: 37 976