Estimateur

Prévisions Cresc et J&J

Estimations jour par jour basées sur N-1 × ratio tendance. Les jours déjà passés affichent le réel, les jours futurs affichent l'estimation.

7 jour(s) 27/04/2026 – 03/05/2026

CA Algo 31 002 € Cresc + J&J Boul. + J&J Rest.

CA IA (-1%) 30 692 € Algo + sentiment Claude

CA réel (partiel) 28 150 € Jours passés disponibles

Sentiment IA -1 Confiance : high -1% appliqué IA : 30 100 €

2026-04-25

Météo : Mild and mixed. Mon 27 cloudy (9–19°C), Tue 28 clear (6–18°C), Wed 29 cloudy with light rain (6–17°C, 0–2mm), Thu 30 mostly clear with moderate rain morning (7–21°C, 6–10mm). Fri 1 May – Sun 3 May: mostly clear, 17–19°C. Neither strongly negative nor positive; cool temperatures (below 18°C threshold) are slightly negative for city-centre restaurant.

weather

neutral

Mild and mixed conditions (9–21°C). Light rain Wed–Thu may encourage indoor dining slightly, but cool temps (mostly below 18°C) and mostly clear Fri–Sun may draw customers outdoors. Overall neutral impact.

pole sud

neutral

No major events found at Pôle Sud Basse-Goulaine or immediately adjacent venues for this specific week.

nantes events

neutral

No major city-wide events identified for 27/04–03/05 at Exponantes, Zénith Nantes, or other major venues. Next significant events at Zénith are in May and beyond.

holidays

neutral

Spring school holidays end Monday 27 April. Friday 1 May is Labour Day (public holiday), mid-week, which may boost restaurant visits slightly but is not a major driver.

disruptions

neutral

No major strikes, roadworks, or disruptions identified for this week.

economy

negative

French consumer confidence fell to 89 in March 2026 (well below long-term average of 100). Purchase intentions score is -33 (worst globally). Only 5% prioritize restaurant spending if income increases; consumers are cutting discretionary spending, particularly on non-food categories. This represents sustained headwinds for restaurant revenue.

The week of 27/04–03/05 presents a largely neutral to slightly negative outlook. Weather is mild and mixed with no significant extremes to drive customers indoors or outdoors strongly. School holidays end Monday, and Labour Day (Friday 1 May) provides a minor mid-week boost, but no major events are scheduled at or near Pôle Sud. The main headwind is the weak economic backdrop: French consumer confidence is at a three-month low, and consumers are prioritizing savings and cutting discretionary spending, with restaurants receiving minimal uplift from rising incomes. The algorithm's +22.7% uplift from N-1 is based on recent performance gains, but the deteriorating economic sentiment in late March 2026 suggests that momentum may soften. A conservative downward adjustment is warranted.

Plage de dates

2 restaurants

Jours fériés & vacances

−2 sem · +45 j

Cette année (gauche) vs N-1 équivalent (droite). Les 2 semaines passées sont grisées.

Vacances En cours

Cette année

Vacances d'Été

21/07/2026 → 01/09/2026

N-1 (2025)

✓ Vacances d'Été

22/07/2025 → 02/09/2025

Férié

Cette année

Assomption

15/08/2026

N-1 (2025)

— Jour normal

16/08/2025

CA combiné — Cresc + J&J

Estimé · Réel · N-1

Ligne cyan = Algo (N-1 × tendance). Ligne jaune = réel disponible. Ligne grise = N-1.

Donnée	27/04/2026 Lundi	28/04/2026 Mardi	29/04/2026 Mercredi	30/04/2026 Jeudi	01/05/2026 Vendredi	02/05/2026 Samedi	03/05/2026 Dimanche
Algo	3 656	3 795	4 925	4 492	4 998	7 306	1 830
Réel	3 636	3 852	3 999	5 021	0	9 429	2 213
N-1	3 144	3 516	4 316	873	4 924	6 383	2 090

Cresc CAHT total · J&J CA total boulangerie · J&J CA total restaurant · Delta Algo vs N-1: +5 756 €

Cresc

Algo: 14 610 € Réel: 14 025 € N-1: 12 128 €

Donnée	27/04/2026 Lundi	28/04/2026 Mardi	29/04/2026 Mercredi	30/04/2026 Jeudi	01/05/2026 Vendredi	02/05/2026 Samedi	03/05/2026 Dimanche
CA total — Algo (€)	1 542	1 802	2 475	2 148	2 293	3 111	1 238
CA total — Réel	1 811	1 900	1 743	2 369	0	4 732	1 470
CA total — N-1	1 433	1 493	2 098	455	2 147	3 037	1 465
Couverts Midi — Algo (cvt)	121	121	187	187	145	230	56
Couverts Midi — Réel	144	148	142	149	0	306	107
Couverts Midi — N-1	121	121	170	23	160	218	94
Couverts Soir — Algo (cvt)	17	45	37	17	68	65	15
Couverts Soir — Réel	24	28	18	55	0	133	28
Couverts Soir — N-1	16	23	37	17	43	68	22

Jules — Boulangerie

Algo: 11 056 € Réel: 9 123 € N-1: 7 676 €

Donnée	27/04/2026 Lundi	28/04/2026 Mardi	29/04/2026 Mercredi	30/04/2026 Jeudi	01/05/2026 Vendredi	02/05/2026 Samedi
CA total — Algo (€)	1 445	1 555	1 735	1 782	1 899	2 641
CA total — Réel	1 214	1 378	1 643	1 944	0	2 944
CA total — N-1	1 159	1 306	1 434	0	1 643	2 134

Johns — Restaurant

Algo: 5 336 € Réel: 5 002 € N-1: 5 442 €

Donnée	27/04/2026 Lundi	28/04/2026 Mardi	29/04/2026 Mercredi	30/04/2026 Jeudi	01/05/2026 Vendredi	02/05/2026 Samedi	03/05/2026 Dimanche
CA total — Algo (€)	669	438	715	563	806	1 553	591
CA total — Réel	611	574	613	708	0	1 753	743
CA total — N-1	552	717	784	418	1 134	1 212	625

Graphiques

6 graphiques

Cresc

Couverts Midi

Estimé: 1 047 Réel: 996 N-1: 907

Cresc

Couverts Soir

Estimé: 262 Réel: 286 N-1: 226

Cresc

CA total

Estimé: 14 610 Réel: 14 025 N-1: 12 128

Jules — Boulangerie

CA total

Estimé: 11 056 Réel: 9 123 N-1: 7 676

Johns — Restaurant

CA total

Estimé: 5 336 Réel: 5 002 N-1: 5 442

Cresc + Jules + Johns

Total CA combiné

Estimé: 31 002 Réel: 28 150 N-1: 25 246