Estimateur

Prévisions Cresc et J&J

Estimations jour par jour basées sur N-1 × ratio tendance. Les jours déjà passés affichent le réel, les jours futurs affichent l'estimation.

7 jour(s) 04/05/2026 – 10/05/2026

CA Algo 26 815 € Cresc + J&J Boul. + J&J Rest.

CA réel (partiel) 32 544 € Jours passés disponibles

Sentiment IA -1 Confiance : high +0% suggéré IA : 29 500 €

2026-03-29

Météo : Mild and rainy week: 9–17°C, expect 6 rainy days out of 7. Cool but not cold. Rain favors indoor dining; temperatures below 18°C keep outdoor alternatives unattractive.

weather

positive

Mild rain (9–17°C, ~3.4mm rainfall, 6 days wet). Cool temperatures and overcast conditions drive people indoors; no heatwave or snow. Score: +1.

pole sud

neutral

No events at Pôle Sud Basse-Goulaine itself. Cinema operates but generates minimal foot traffic for restaurant. No trade shows or corporate events that week.

nantes events

neutral

SEANERGY (May 19–20) and INTERPORE (May 19–22) occur after target week. Zénith concerts (May 2, 7, 10) are in Saint-Herblain (20+ km away), not near Pôle Sud south-east zone. No local draw.

holidays

neutral

Spring holidays ended Monday 27 April; Ascension bridge starts Wednesday 13 May. May 4–10 is ordinary school week with no holiday-driven family or tourist traffic.

disruptions

neutral

No strikes, roadworks, or security events found. No negative local news affecting Nantes in early May 2026.

economy

negative

French consumer confidence at 91/100 (below neutral). Widespread pullback in discretionary spending and out-of-home dining. 80% of French report purchasing power pressure. This is a strong headwind for restaurant sector.

The week of May 4–10 presents a neutral to slightly negative revenue outlook. Mild, rainy weather (+1) slightly favours indoor dining at a city-centre restaurant. However, no major local events, no holiday boost, and weak consumer confidence in France offset this advantage. Out-of-home dining is suffering as French households prioritise essential spending. The economic headwind dominates; modest weather gains do not compensate. Estimate a small downward adjustment.

Plage de dates

2 restaurants

Jours fériés & vacances

−2 sem · +45 j

Cette année (gauche) vs N-1 équivalent (droite). Les 2 semaines passées sont grisées.

Vacances En cours

Cette année

Vacances d'Été

21/07/2026 → 01/09/2026

N-1 (2025)

✓ Vacances d'Été

22/07/2025 → 02/09/2025

Férié

Cette année

Assomption

15/08/2026

N-1 (2025)

— Jour normal

16/08/2025

CA combiné — Cresc + J&J

Estimé · Réel · N-1

Ligne cyan = Algo (N-1 × tendance). Ligne jaune = réel disponible. Ligne grise = N-1.

Donnée	04/05/2026 Lundi	05/05/2026 Mardi	06/05/2026 Mercredi	07/05/2026 Jeudi	08/05/2026 Vendredi	09/05/2026 Samedi	10/05/2026 Dimanche
Algo	3 823	3 457	3 993	3 903	4 199	5 958	1 481
Réel	3 549	4 606	5 189	4 190	5 589	7 102	2 319
N-1	4 065	3 576	4 207	4 013	4 397	6 333	1 748

Cresc CAHT total · J&J CA total boulangerie · J&J CA total restaurant · Delta Algo vs N-1: -1 524 €

Cresc

Algo: 12 659 € Réel: 15 601 € N-1: 14 884 €

Donnée	04/05/2026 Lundi	05/05/2026 Mardi	06/05/2026 Mercredi	07/05/2026 Jeudi	08/05/2026 Vendredi	09/05/2026 Samedi	10/05/2026 Dimanche
CA total — Algo (€)	1 959	1 379	1 973	1 596	1 670	3 015	1 067
CA total — Réel	1 705	2 039	2 564	1 781	2 776	3 015	1 721
CA total — N-1	2 303	1 621	2 320	1 876	1 964	3 545	1 255
Couverts Midi — Algo (cvt)	164	104	158	122	121	205	66
Couverts Midi — Réel	131	150	207	126	117	177	109
Couverts Midi — N-1	188	119	181	140	138	234	76
Couverts Soir — Algo (cvt)	13	27	26	24	27	64	32
Couverts Soir — Réel	19	33	33	27	70	93	31
Couverts Soir — N-1	15	31	30	28	31	74	37

Jules — Boulangerie

Algo: 10 143 € Réel: 11 056 € N-1: 8 671 €

Donnée	04/05/2026 Lundi	05/05/2026 Mardi	06/05/2026 Mercredi	07/05/2026 Jeudi	08/05/2026 Vendredi	09/05/2026 Samedi
CA total — Algo (€)	1 365	1 551	1 545	1 821	1 723	2 137
CA total — Réel	1 498	1 697	1 856	1 612	1 681	2 712
CA total — N-1	1 167	1 326	1 321	1 557	1 473	1 827

Johns — Restaurant

Algo: 4 013 € Réel: 5 887 € N-1: 4 784 €

Donnée	04/05/2026 Lundi	05/05/2026 Mardi	06/05/2026 Mercredi	07/05/2026 Jeudi	08/05/2026 Vendredi	09/05/2026 Samedi	10/05/2026 Dimanche
CA total — Algo (€)	499	528	475	486	805	806	414
CA total — Réel	346	870	769	797	1 132	1 375	598
CA total — N-1	595	629	566	580	960	961	493

Graphiques

6 graphiques

Cresc

Couverts Midi

Estimé: 941 Réel: 1 017 N-1: 1 076

Cresc

Couverts Soir

Estimé: 214 Réel: 306 N-1: 246

Cresc

CA total

Estimé: 12 659 Réel: 15 601 N-1: 14 884

Jules — Boulangerie

CA total

Estimé: 10 143 Réel: 11 056 N-1: 8 671

Johns — Restaurant

CA total

Estimé: 4 013 Réel: 5 887 N-1: 4 784

Cresc + Jules + Johns

Total CA combiné

Estimé: 26 815 Réel: 32 544 N-1: 28 339